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Top Forex Events In The New Millennium

Fusion Markets

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Foreign exchange (FOREX) goes through ups and downs. Some events had stripped bare the possible volatility of the market, causing fear in the hearts of investors. Here are some top events since the year 2000 that caused chaos in the markets.


2013 Forex Probe


The Forex Probe of 2013 was a scandal that revealed how international banks had been working together for at least a decade to tweak Forex market exchange rates.  

 

Again, this event was all about investor fears of market manipulation as a result of bank collusion.  It wasnt easy to trust the market again after such practices were revealed. 

 

Four major banks admitted involvement, but the 2013 Forex Probe remains one of the most impactful foreign exchange events since 2000, even though the banks paid up $6 billion in fines.  

 

Greek Debt Crisis


In 2013, the Greek economy revealed its fragility, although it already showed some cracks during the 2007 worldwide financial crisis.  


It looked like Greece was going into an irreparable downfall. Still, the European Union overextended itself by granting it a generous loan of £68 billion. While the EU might have saved Greece, this move would remain one of the top events in Forex history for such a large amount of money changing hands.  

 

The consequences of the crisis could still be felt as Greece’s debt problems reverberated in 2015. Because Greece couldn’t reach its deal, some currencies surged, such as the Japanese Yen and Swiss Franc found which found themselves on the rise.  

 

However, other currencies didn’t fare so well in 2015. The Euro plunged in the Asian trading session. The dollar also experienced a one-month low of 122.10 yen.  

 

Political uncertainty in one country can affect many other countries, and sometimes the impact lasts for years. That is why the Greek Debt Crisis of 2013 makes it to our list of the most significant Forex events in the new millennium.  

 

2016 Sterling Flash Crash

 

Since we have already looked at what a flash crash is about, we can go straight to how the Sterling Pound lost its value within seconds on the 7th of October 2016.  

 

A fat finger error was suspected, but the Bank for International Settlements ruled that there was no proof it was the case. Further investigations revealed that algorithmic trading programs had triggered the crash. The algorithm issue was paired with traders who didn’t want to take much risk.  

 

GBP/USD - Sep-Nov 2016 - Forex chart

 

British Pound/U.S. Dollar – Sep-Nov 2016

 

 

2016 BREXIT

 

Brexit 2016 caused panic in the European Union, especially when its economic effects were felt. Of course, it also had an impact on the foreign exchange market. 

 

The story of Britain’s breakup with the European Union was one of the top events in politics and Forex history. It went to show just how intricately related these aspects were.  

 

The UK’s unexpected move was what created the panic. Understandably, something so unprecedented had to affect the market. Right before the votes were out, the British pound sterling was moving in an upswing trend. However, it ended in a closing of 8% down for the GBP/USD pair on that day. 

 

A slide preceded the Brexit-caused slump for about a year.  

 

USD/JPY and AUD/USD Flash Crash of 2019


You may believe that Apple is mainly influential in the technology market. Think again. Its reaches have some effects on the foreign exchange market, as well.  

 

Apple’s statement in January 2019 that emphasised the Chinese economy’s struggle had several investors selling their most volatile currencies. 

  

When investors lose confidence in the Chinese economy, their trust in the AUD and JPY also fluctuates. After all, Australia is its most important trading partner.  

 

Therefore, a simple statement from Apple in 2019 has caused one of the most significant foreign exchange crashes of recent years.  

 

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U.S. Dollar/Japanese Yen – Jan 2019

 

Swiss Francs Crash 

 

In the same year, in February, the Swiss franc also suffered a crash. However, some considered this an inconsequential event.  

 

The Swiss Franc experienced a significant drop during the Asian trading session on the 10th of February. It dropped against the US dollar and other major peers.  

 

When the Japanese markets closed for National Foundation Day, the Swiss francs suffered from a lack of liquidity.  

 

Another critical Swiss franc crash happened a few years prior to this, in January 2015. The flash rally, as some call it, occurred after the Swiss National Bank announced that its currency would no longer be pegged at 1.20 against the Euro. Because of this, the franc went up by 20% against not only the Euro but also some major currencies.  

 

2020 Black Swan Event

 

The Black Swan event certainly caused a stir in the financial markets. Moreover, it points to the fall of the most popular of cryptocurrencies - Bitcoin. 

 

So, when the cryptocurrency fell to almost 4970 USD per coin, it caused sheer panic among investors. That was an 80% loss in value. For comparison, its 2017 value was at 19716 USD. 

 

Bitcoin was not alone in creating fear among investors, as Ethereum also dipped from 285 USD to 110 USD. COVID-19 was believed to be the cause of the plunge.  

 

Because the cryptocurrency crisis of 2022 was considered a Black Swan event, it affected other financial markets, including foreign exchange.  

 

The fear generated by black swans is especially fearsome due to their ability to wipe out entire accounts. Reliance on standard forecasting tools can fail to predict potential damages, and that is what makes black swan events so rare and devastating. 

 

Coronavirus Pandemic

 

The COVID-19 pandemic continues to make its effects known in various industries worldwide. During that crisis economic growth expectations were downgraded in fear that major economic sectors had to be shut down due to the increasing coronavirus cases. That uncertainty reduced the demand for local currencies and investment funds. In addition, it impacted exchange rates and the fluctuating value of the US dollar as a world reserve currency.  

 

As a result, economic and political measures created significant changes worldwide and left a mark in Forex history. 

 

Conclusion

 

While there may be more FOREX-related events in the past and the upcoming future that will affect the market, the above are the ones that still have tangible impacts in the past few years. It is crucial for forex traders to stay ahead of an ever-changing market, and one of the ways to achieve it is to understand its history. 

 

To access the world’s markets easier and at a lower cost get a live account with Fusion Markets. 



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Index CFD Dividends | Week 13/5/2024
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Please see the table below for any upcoming dividend adjustments on indices for the week starting May 13th.


Weekly Dividends 13/5/2024

* Please note these figures are quoted in the index point amount

 

What is a dividend?


Dividends are a portion of company earnings given to shareholders. As indices are often composed of individual shares, an index dividend pays out based on individual shares proportional to the index’s weighting.


Trading on a CFD Index does not create any ownership of the underlying stocks, or an entitlement to receive the actual dividends from these companies.

 

What is an ex-dividend date?


An ex-dividend date is the cut-off date a share must be owned in order to receive a dividend. If an investor buys a share after the ex-dividend date, then they will not be entitled to earn or pay the next round of dividends. This is usually one business day before the dividend.

 

Do dividends affect my position?


Share prices should theoretically fall by the amount of the dividend. If the company has paid the dividend with cash, then there is less cash on the balance sheet, so in theory, the company should be valued lower (by the amount of the dividend).


Due to the corresponding price movement of the stock index when the ex-dividend date is reached, Fusion must provide a 'dividend' adjustment to ensure that no trader is positively or negatively impacted by the ex-dividend event.

 

How will the dividend appear on my account?


The dividend will appear as a cash adjustment on your account. If your base currency is different from the currency the dividend is paid out in, then it will be converted at the live FX rate to your base currency.

 

Why was I charged a dividend?


Depending on your position, given you are holding your position before the ex-dividend date, you will either be paid or charged the amount based on the dividend. Traders shorting an index will pay the dividend, whereas traders who are long the index will be paid the dividend.

 

Why didn’t I receive my dividend?


You may not have received a dividend for a number of reasons:


- You entered your position after the ex-dividend date

- You are trading an index without dividend payments

- You are short an index


If you believe the reasons above do not apply to your position, please reach out to our support team at [email protected] and we’ll investigate further for you.




Forex Trading
CFD
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22.04.2024
Trading and Brokerage
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Inside the Mind of a Successful Trader: Understanding the Psychology Behind Forex Success
Fusion Markets

Forex trading, with its promise of financial freedom and independence, has captivated the minds of millions around the globe. Yet, beneath the surface of charts, indicators, and currency pairs lies a complex landscape shaped not just by market dynamics but by the intricate workings of the human mind.  

Success is not solely dictated by market knowledge or technical prowess but by the ability to master one's own trading psychology. This article delves deep into the psyche of successful forex traders, exploring the mindset, habits, and strategies that set them apart from the rest.  

Whether you're a novice trader taking your first steps into the world of forex or an experienced investor seeking to enhance your trading performance, understanding the psychological aspects of trading is paramount to achieving lasting success. Join us as we unravel the mysteries of the human mind and discover the keys to unlocking your full potential in the forex market. 



Contents 


Defining Success in Forex Trading

The Role of Psychology in Trading

Characteristics of Successful Traders

Embracing Emotional Intelligence

Developing a Winning Mindset

The Psychology of Risk Management

Learning from Mistakes

Conclusion




Defining Success in Forex Trading


The concept of "success" in forex trading is a bit of a hot topic. Some see it as being all about the money, while others argue it's more about staying consistent, managing risks, and growing as a trader. Plus, success means different things to different people, so what floats one trader's boat might not do it for another.

A “successful” forex trader possesses discipline, focus, determination and emotional resilience. This enables them to take a calculated approach to their trading, ultimately producing a consistent performance over the long-term.

Every trader will encounter losses. It’s how you manage your risk that will determine your outcome from these losses. In addition to managing your risk, having a psychological plan in place to prevent your emotions from taking control is also important. For example, some day traders have a daily loss limit that, if reached, results in them walking away for the day and trading the next day. Others might have a psychological limit of 4 losing trades in a row and so forth.

A successful trader is ‘successful’ over the long-term. Making profits is only one piece of the puzzle. You cannot be successful in profiting over the long-term without being successful in risk management and psychological behaviour.

 

The Role of Psychology in Trading


At the heart of successful forex trading lies the understanding of one's own trading psychology and the ability to manage emotions effectively. 

The psychology of trading encompasses a range of factors, including emotional intelligence, mindset, and behaviour. Successful traders understand the importance of emotional regulation and employ strategies to remain calm and focused during times of market volatility. By developing self-awareness and cultivating a positive mindset, traders can overcome psychological barriers and make rational decisions based on analysis rather than emotion.

Characteristics of Successful Trader


Successful forex traders share common traits that set them apart from the rest. These include discipline, patience, adaptability, and a willingness to accept losses as part of the trading process. They approach the market with a clear plan, stick to their strategies, and remain unphased by short-term fluctuations.

Discipline is the most critical characteristic of successful traders. It involves following a trading plan meticulously, adhering to risk management principles, and avoiding impulsive decisions. Patience is also essential, as successful traders understand that success in forex trading is a marathon, not a sprint. They wait for high-probability trading opportunities and avoid chasing after quick profits.

Adaptability is another hallmark of successful traders. They recognise that the forex market is constantly evolving, and they adjust their strategies accordingly to stay ahead of the curve. Whether it's adapting to changing market conditions or refining their trading approach based on new information, successful traders remain flexible and open-minded.

In addition to the above, there are other catalysts outside of trading that contribute to the success of a trader. On, of which, is maintaining a good sleeping habit. With the forex market trading 24/5, it’s impractical for most traders to stay away all day and night. Sleep deprivation can cause many issues in all forms of life, and trading is no different.

Embracing Emotional Intelligence 


Emotional intelligence plays a pivotal role in forex trading, enabling traders to recognise and manage their emotions effectively. Successful traders cultivate self-awareness, self-regulation, and empathy, allowing them to make rational decisions even in high-pressure situations. By understanding their emotional triggers, they can maintain composure and avoid impulsive actions. 


Self-awareness involves recognising one's emotions and their impact on trading decisions. Successful traders are attuned to their emotional state and take proactive steps to prevent emotions from clouding their judgment. Self-regulation is the ability to control impulses and maintain discipline in the face of temptation. Successful traders develop strategies to manage stress, anxiety, and other negative emotions that can interfere with trading performance. 


Empathy is also important in forex trading, as it allows traders to understand the perspectives and motivations of other market participants. By putting themselves in the shoes of other traders, successful traders can anticipate market movements and react accordingly. Empathy also helps traders build relationships with other market participants, fostering collaboration and mutual respect. 


Successful traders also have an understanding of cognitive and confirmation biases. We recommend all traders read our two-part series on the 10 hidden biases here: 



Developing a Winning Mindset


A winning mindset is essential for success in forex trading. Successful traders maintain a positive attitude, focus on continuous improvement, and view challenges as opportunities for growth. They approach each trade with confidence, knowing that setbacks are temporary and part of the learning curve.

A winning mindset is characterised by several key traits, including optimism, determination, resilience, and good habits. Optimism involves maintaining a positive outlook, even in the face of adversity. Successful traders believe in their ability to succeed and remain confident in their trading approach, regardless of short-term setbacks.

Determination is the drive to succeed despite obstacles and setbacks. Successful traders are tenacious in pursuit of their goals and refuse to be deterred by temporary failures. They view challenges as opportunities for growth and approach them with a sense of determination and perseverance.

Resilience is the ability to bounce back from setbacks and adapt to changing circumstances. Successful traders understand that losses are inevitable in forex trading and view them as learning experiences rather than failures. They remain resilient in the face of adversity, quickly recovering from losses and maintaining their focus on long-term success.

And finally, building good habits is paramount to becoming a successful trader. “It takes 21 days to form a habit and 90 days to form a lifestyle”. Understand what your identity-based habits are and how to build them to your arsenal of tools to conquer the market.

The Psychology of Risk Management


Risk management is a cornerstone of successful forex trading, and mastering it requires a deep understanding of one's risk tolerance and the ability to make calculated decisions. Successful traders prioritise capital preservation and employ risk management strategies such as setting stop-loss orders, diversifying their portfolios, and sizing their positions appropriately. By limiting their exposure to risk, they can protect their capital and avoid catastrophic losses.

Effective risk management involves several key principles, including diversification, position sizing, and risk-reward ratio. Diversification involves spreading risk across multiple assets or currency pairs to reduce the impact of any single trade or market event. Successful traders diversify their portfolios to minimise risk and maximise returns over the long term.

Position sizing is the process of determining the appropriate amount of capital to allocate to each trade based on risk tolerance and market conditions. Successful traders carefully assess the potential risks and rewards of each trade and adjust their position sizes accordingly. By sizing their positions appropriately, they can minimise losses and maximise profits while preserving capital.

Risk-reward ratio is the ratio of potential profit to potential loss on a trade. Successful traders seek to maintain a favourable risk-reward ratio on each trade, typically aiming for a ratio of at least 2:1 or higher. By consistently seeking trades with a positive risk-reward ratio, they can achieve consistent profits over time while minimising losses.

Learning from Mistakes


Mistakes are inevitable in forex trading, but successful traders view them as valuable learning opportunities rather than failures. They analyse their trades objectively, identify areas for improvement, and adjust their strategies accordingly. By embracing a growth mindset, they continuously refine their skills and adapt to changing market conditions. Every mistake becomes a stepping stone towards greater proficiency and success.

Learning from mistakes involves several key steps, including reflection, analysis, and adaptation. Successful traders take the time to reflect on their trades and identify any patterns or recurring mistakes. They analyse their trading journals and performance metrics to gain insights into their strengths and weaknesses.

Based on their analysis, successful traders adapt their strategies and techniques to address any areas for improvement. They may seek out additional education or training, refine their trading approach, or implement new risk management strategies. By learning from their mistakes and making adjustments, they can improve their trading performance over time and achieve greater success in the forex market.

Conclusion


In the dynamic world of forex trading, success is not solely determined by market knowledge or technical prowess but by the ability to master one's own trading psychology. By understanding the psychological factors that influence trading behaviour, traders can develop the mindset, habits, and strategies necessary for long-term success.  

Remember, that everyone faces the same challenges in the markets. Only those who can overcome the psychological barriers in trading end up succeeding over the long-term. Sometimes in bizarre market conditions, or on an off day, it’s better to take a step back and examine why we’ve been behaving and thinking as we have. 


Whether you're a novice trader or an experienced investor, cultivating emotional intelligence, embracing risk management, and maintaining a winning mindset are key to thriving in the competitive forex market. As you embark on your trading journey, remember that success is not just about profits but about the journey of self-discovery and growth. 


Forex
Trading Psychology
Mindset
12.04.2024
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